***G-Man's NFL week 10***

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Thursday
Bengals +6.5 (-115) over Ravens 5 units
 

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Sunday.

Pitt(51) +2.5 over Wash. 6 units
Last game vs a real defense, Wash was being beat by Denver. Won on Crazy hail mary.

Saints +3.5 over ATL (72) 6 units
ATL struggled with Dallas and should have lost to Tampa.
Carr Shines today!

SF -6.5 over Tampa(52. 3 units
Not buying into SF just because McCaffrey is bask.
Tampa has many injuries. No Mike Evans. Baker has toe
injury.
Defenses alone are the difference in the spread.


CHI (61) -6.5 New Eng 5 units
NE may not score.

Jags +7 over Vikes(67). 3 units

Colts +4.5 over Buff (69) 6 units

Denver +7.5 over (KC.58) . 4 units
UNDER 42. 3 units
Broncos only average 16 pts in road games vs teams with true starting QB's. Weather could be a factor.

Chargers(72) vs Tenn. UNDER 40 (-115) 3 units

Jets -2 over Arizona(59) 2 units

Dallas +7.5 over Philly(58) 4 units

8PM
Houston +4 Det(72) -3.5 10 units


*(59). < This is the betting percentages by the public.
 

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Houston+4 is the play for 10 units
 

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Thursday
Bengals +6.5 (-115) over Ravens 5 units...........W+500
Sunday.

Pitt(51) +2.5 over Wash. 6 units.......................W++600 +


Saints +3.5 over ATL (72) 6 units.......................W+600 -

SF -6.5 over Tampa(52. 3 units.........................L-330 +


CHI (61) -6.5 New Eng 5 units..........................L-550 -


Jags +7 over Vikes(67). 3 units.......................W+300 -

Colts +4.5 over Buff (69) 6 units.........................L-660 +

Denver +7.5 over (KC.58) . 4 units....................W+400 -
UNDER 42. 3 units................................................W+300 -

Chargers(72) vs Tenn. UNDER 40 (-115) 3 units.........L-330

Jets -2 over Arizona(59) 2 units...........................L-220 +

Dallas +7.5 over Philly(58) 4 units..........................L-440 +

8PM
Houston +4 Det(72) -3.5 10 units........................W+1000 -


*(59). < This is the betting percentages by the public.
Love the Texans
Houston+4 is the play for 10 units.........W

Thurs -Sunday.
7-6. +1170.00
W+3700
L-2530.

Monday

Miami +3 (-118)BM. over Rams. 10 units

In games where Tago started - the Phins have radically different scoring ability.

Their season average is pathetic @ 16 points per game but in the three games Tago played they have averaged 24.5 points.. In the 10 games Tago didn't play the Phins averaged only 10 points per game!
The main issue is the Phins defense, which is allowing 23 points per game.
In the last 2 games they've allowed 28 to Arizona and 30 to Buffalo.

The Rams have surged winning the last 3 SU. Their last win was 30-20, in overtime in Seattle, where they benefited from 3 Seattle turnovers. They allowed Seattle to roll up 424 total yards.
Noting that the Rams defense isn't rated as good as Miami overall, the shot to win this favors Miami because of the true scoring potential of Tago.
The Rams also benefited from 4 turnovers vs the Raiders as well in a 20-15 win.
Their win over Minnesta was true, but lately the Viking have had all kinds of issues on offense, justified yesterday with a 12-7 win over Jacksonville.
The last three game-scores by Minn was 20, 20 and 12?
 
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I like the Miami play. What’s your thoughts on a first half under? Mine is sitting at 24 with the juice towards the over. I’m waiting to see if I can get it at 24.5 before kick off.
 

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The Rams have surged winning the last 3 SU. Their last win was 30-20, in overtime in Seattle, where they benefited from 3 Seattle turnovers.
How do you win 30-20 in Overtime?

Just joking with ya. GL on your play
 

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I like the Miami play. What’s your thoughts on a first half under? Mine is sitting at 24 with the juice towards the over. I’m waiting to see if I can get it at 24.5 before kick off.
Both defenses allow more than average points, but If Miami defense improves- It may not get there.

Tha Rams have only scored from turnovers in 2 of the last 3 games and with the Raiders they only reached 20 points on 4 turnovers and 26 with Seattle on 3 turnovers in the other. game - which was an overtime game.

I would play the under based on those outcomes - but if the Phins attack early, they could put up 17 - 21 in the first half. Miami run game has improved as well with Tago at QB to balance the offesne. Miami has averaged 150 yds rushing per game last 3.
To win the under, the Rams likely wont score more than 10 points in the half...

GL
 
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Both defenses allow more than average points, but If Miami defense improves- It may not get there.

Tha Rams have only scored from turnovers in 2 of the last 3 games and with the Raiders they only reached 20 points on 4 turnovers and 26 with Seattle on 3 turnovers in the other. game - which was an overtime game.

I would play the under based on those outcomes - but if the Phins attack early, they could put up 17 - 21 in the first half. Miami run game has improved as well with Tago at QB to balance the offesne. Miami has averaged 150 yds rushing per game last 3.
To win the under, the Rams likely wont score more than 10 points in the half...

GL
Thanks for the input. I think if I can get it at 24.5 I’ll play it. I feel like at 24 the most I’ll be hoping for is a push. Rather not sweat for a half just to hope for a tie. GL on Miami. I’ll be tailing
 

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Thurs -Sunday.
7-6. +1170.00
W+3700
L-2530.

Monday

Miami +3 (-118)BM. over Rams. 10 units............................................................W+1000.00
Week 10.
8-6. +2170.00
W+4700
L-2530.
 

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